Long Term Trends in Irish Healthcare

This paper aims to take a step back from day-to-day analysis and look at long-term trends in Irish healthcare over recent decades.  Section 1 focuses on population outcomes (life expectancy, health status) while Section 2 focuses on the expenditure input that underlies these.  Overall, the report shows that life expectancy improved rapidly in response to investment during the late nineties and early 2000s but is unlikely to respond similarly in future with the easy gains from increasing spending now exhausted.

The paper is available here.

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Health Spending: Moving Back to Peak Funding

This paper looks at health expenditure from a record high in 2009 to the fall in spending in 2010 and 2011 as a result of the financial crisis to the growth again in 2015 and  2016 as resources became available. Making a number of adjustments necessary to compare spending on a like-for-like basis, this note shows that the health allocation of €14.1bn included in Budget 2017 means that spending next year will exceed its 2009 peak, both in total and per capita.

This paper is available here.

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Economies of Scale in Irish Hospitals

This analytical note looks at the question of economies of scale in Irish hospitals and attempts to determine efficient hospital scale using two metrics, bed utilisation and expenditure.

The paper is available here.

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Forecasting Trade Deflators in Ireland

This technical note provides an overview and rationale for recently developed forecast models for Irish export and import prices (trade deflators) in both Merchandise Goods and Services. These forecasts constitute a significant component of the GDP Deflator forecast used in the Department of Finance’s overall macroeconomic forecast, produced for the annual Budget and the Stability Programme. These models will be updated in line with the release of Quarterly National Account (QNA) and annual National Income and Expenditure data by the CSO.

The paper is available here.

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