A high frequency model of the COVID-19 pandemic

This paper describes a high frequency database and model developed from both the economic and medical literature. This was used to provide a daily statistics and measures throughout the first wave of the pandemic in Ireland and across the globe with the aim of adding to the real time evidence for policy makers. Model estimates are reported for the critical early and peak stages of the pandemic.

The model is complementary to those used for public health policy as while it cannot estimate the rate of transmission that is critical for policy decisions, it has the flexibility to provide daily estimates and relative metrics for a large set of countries, such as the steepness of their fatalities curve.

A link to the paper can be found here

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